As the college basketball season heats up, Iowa State is firmly on the top-16 seed line, boasting a 18-2 record and a 7 NET ranking. However, their recent form has been a cause for concern, with two losses in their last three games. They'll look to bounce back against UCF, who is solidly in the tournament field with a 39 NET ranking. This matchup presents a Quad 1 opportunity for the Knights, which could significantly bolster their tournament resume.
UCF's quad record tells an interesting story - they've struggled against top-tier opponents, going 2-4 in Quad 1 games, but have been perfect against Quad 3 and 4 foes. A win at Hilton Coliseum would be a major statement for the Knights, potentially launching them into the top 25 conversation. Meanwhile, Iowa State is looking to protect their home court and maintain their position as a top seed. According to the CHD Scout prediction, Iowa State is favored to win by 12.7 points, with an 87% win probability.
CHD Scout Prediction
UCF
72
Iowa State
84
With no notable player momentum to speak of, this game will likely come down to which team can execute their game plan more effectively. Iowa State's high-powered offense will face off against UCF's stingy defense, making for an intriguing matchup. In the end, I predict Iowa State will emerge victorious, 84-72, behind their potent offense and home-court advantage. The Cyclones' ability to score from multiple positions and their strong rebounding margin should prove too much for the Knights to handle.