In a stunning upset, Eastern Washington University, the 219th-ranked team in the NET rankings, defeated Portland State University, ranked 130th, by a margin of 12 points, 67-55. This result sends shockwaves through the conference standings, with implications for seeding in the upcoming tournament. The Eagles' victory over the Vikings marks a significant upset, as the latter was favored to win.
The final score belies the actual score at halftime, with Eastern Washington trailing by 30 points, 30-0, before the break. The Eagles managed to close the gap in the second half, outscoring Portland State 67-25 over the final 20 minutes to secure the win.
Isaiah Moses led the charge for Eastern Washington, scoring a game-high 22 points to go along with six rebounds and three assists. Moses shot efficiently from the field, making 5 of 12 field goal attempts and converting all 11 free throw attempts. His ability to score from various spots on the court was a key factor in the Eagles' victory.
Kiree Huie provided a strong supporting effort, contributing 14 points and seven rebounds. Huie shot well from the field, making 5 of 11 attempts, and was perfect from the free throw line, going 4 for 4. Emmett Marquardt also had a solid game, grabbing seven rebounds and blocking two shots while scoring eight points. Marquardt's defensive presence in the paint helped to limit Portland State's scoring opportunities.
Terri Miller Jr.'s 21 points led the Portland State offense, but his 9-19 shooting from the field and 2-5 three-point shooting left him at an inefficient 52.6% effective field goal percentage. Despite his efforts, Miller's performance was not enough to carry the team to victory. His five rebounds and one assist were decent contributions, but he was ultimately outplayed by Eastern Washington's scorers.
Jaylin Henderson's stat line showed flashes of brilliance, particularly with his five assists, but his 4-17 shooting from the field and 0-2 three-point shooting limited his overall impact. His 11 points and five rebounds were respectable, but his shooting struggles hindered the team's chances of closing the gap. Henderson's inability to find a rhythm on offense was a key factor in Portland State's loss.
Tre-Vaughn Minott's outing was a stark departure from his season averages, as he struggled to find his shooting stroke, going 0-for-4 from the field, a marked decline from his 10.8 points per game. Despite a slight uptick in rebounding, where he secured 9 boards to his season average of 8.7, Minott's overall performance was hindered by his inability to contribute on the defensive end, where he typically averages 1.2 blocks per game. His lack of production and efficiency in multiple facets of the game was notable, particularly considering his typically well-rounded performance.
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Final
The pre-game prediction proved to be a misguided one, as Eastern Washington emerged victorious by a 12-point margin, defying the expected outcome. The model's failure to account for the Eagles' superior shooting efficiency and defensive prowess was a significant oversight.
Upon closer examination, it becomes apparent that Portland State's struggles on offense were a decisive factor in the outcome. The Vikings' eFG% of 34.4% was a stark departure from their season average of 51.1%, indicating a nightmarish shooting performance. Moreover, Eastern Washington's ability to limit Portland State's 3-point shooting opportunities, holding them to a 21.1% mark, was a telling sign of their defensive strength. The Vikings' inability to capitalize on their usual rebounding advantage, with an OREB rate of 18.9%, also played a significant role in their defeat.
The win for Eastern Washington marks a crucial non-conference result for their NCAA Tournament resume, as they now boast a 1-3 record against Quad 2 opponents, a key metric in the selection committee's evaluation process. While their overall NET ranking remains modest, a Quad 1 victory in the Big Sky Conference tournament could potentially lift their profile. For Portland State, this loss, coming in a Quad 4 game, has little bearing on their tournament prospects, but it does create an opportunity for the Vikings to pad their resume with a strong finish in conference play. They now sit at 0-2 against Quad 2 opponents, and a similar record in the Big Sky tournament may not be enough to offset their modest non-conference resume. A 10-8 record in the Big Sky Conference will be the real test of Portland State's mettle.