The George Washington Colonials are looking to bounce back from a tough stretch, having lost four of their last five games, including a 75-65 defeat to the Fordham Rams, where they allowed 45.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, the George Mason Patriots are riding a two-game winning streak, with their most recent victory being a 70-64 thriller over the Saint Louis Billikens, where they forced 17 turnovers. This matchup pits two teams with contrasting styles, as George Mason's offense, which averages 78.5 points per game, faces off against George Washington's defense, which has held opponents to 41.2% shooting from the field.
George Mason Patriots' 45.1% Three-Point Shooting Percentage Leads the Atlantic 10
The game is scheduled for February 13, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET, and will take place at the Charles E. Smith Center, with the contest available to stream on ESPN+.
The George Mason Patriots have been one of the most impressive teams in the Atlantic 10, boasting a 21-3 overall record and a 9-3 conference mark. They have a NET ranking of 84 and a quad record of 0-1 Q1, 1-1 Q2, 9-2 Q3, and 10-0 Q4, indicating their need for quality wins to strengthen their tournament resume. Over their last five games, the Patriots have averaged 76.2 points per game, while allowing 68.4 points per contest. Their recent form, which includes a 77-70 win over the Duquesne Dukes, where they shot 51.9% from the field, demonstrates their ability to perform under pressure.
Key Matchups
The George Washington Colonials, with a 14-11 overall record and a 5-7 conference mark, are fighting to stay relevant in the Atlantic 10. They have a NET ranking of 91 and a quad record of 0-2 Q1, 1-5 Q2, 5-2 Q3, and 7-2 Q4, highlighting their need for quality wins to build a tournament resume. The Colonials have struggled recently, losing four of their last five games, including a 72-65 loss to the Rhode Island Rams, where they were outrebounded 37-25. Over this stretch, they have averaged 69.2 points per game, while allowing 73.2 points per contest.
The George Mason Patriots' high-powered offense, which ranks 15th in the nation in scoring, will face a stiff test against the George Washington Colonials' defense, which has held opponents to 41.2% shooting from the field. The Patriots' ability to shoot 36.5% from beyond the arc matters, as the Colonials have allowed opponents to shoot 34.2% from three-point range. The pace of the game will also be important, as George Mason averages 72.1 possessions per game, while George Washington averages 68.5 possessions per contest. If the Patriots can dictate the tempo, they may be able to overwhelm the Colonials' defense, which has allowed 75.5 points per game over their last four contests.
CHD Scout Prediction
George Mason
74
George Washington
77
For the George Mason Patriots, Josh Oduro has been on a tear, averaging 19.5 points and 7.8 rebounds per game over his last five contests, while shooting 55.6% from the field. Meanwhile, Ronald Polite has been struggling, averaging just 8.2 points per game over his last five games, while shooting 34.5% from the field. For the George Washington Colonials, James Bishop has been a bright spot, averaging 18.2 points and 4.5 assists per game over his last five contests, while shooting 44.1% from beyond the arc. However, Ricky Lindo has been cold, averaging just 6.5 points per game over his last five contests, while shooting 35.7% from the field.
Tournament Stakes
The CHD Scout prediction favors the George Washington Colonials by 2.7 points, with a 59.4% win probability. This prediction is based on the Colonials' strong defensive performance at home, where they have allowed just 65.1 points per game, while the Patriots have averaged 73.2 points per game on the road. The predicted score is 77-74 in favor of the Colonials, indicating a closely contested matchup.
This game has significant tournament implications for both teams. A win for the George Washington Colonials would be a much-needed Quad 2 victory, improving their record against top-tier opponents and bolstering their NET ranking. For the George Mason Patriots, a win would be a valuable Quad 2 road victory, strengthening their tournament resume and solidifying their position in the Atlantic 10 standings. With both teams sitting on the bubble, this matchup could be a decisive factor in determining their postseason fate.