As the Atlantic 10 conference race heats up, George Mason is looking to extend its three-game win streak against a George Washington team desperate for quality wins. The Patriots, boasting a 18-2 overall record and 6-1 conference mark, are favored to win at home, with the CHD Scout prediction giving them a 4.4-point edge and 65.8% win probability. A win would not only bolster George Mason's conference standing but also provide a much-needed Quad 2 victory to strengthen their tournament resume.
George Washington, on the other hand, is seeking to rebound from a loss in their last outing and boost their own tournament hopes. With a NET ranking of 71 and a Quad 2 record of 2-3, the Colonials need to capitalize on opportunities like this to build a more compelling case for the selection committee. This matchup is particularly significant for George Washington, as a win on the road against George Mason would be considered a Quad 1 victory, significantly enhancing their tournament prospects.
CHD Scout Prediction
George Washington
74
George Mason
78
Given the close spread and the Vegas over/under of 152.5, this game is expected to be a high-scoring, tightly contested affair. With neither team having a notable player on a hot or cold streak, the outcome will likely depend on which team can execute their game plan more effectively. I predict George Mason will emerge victorious, 78-74, leveraging their home-court advantage and recent momentum to secure a crucial win and further solidify their position in the Atlantic 10 standings.