As the college basketball season heats up, Florida is riding a three-game win streak, firmly establishing themselves on the top-16 seed line with a 16th-ranked NET ranking. Meanwhile, LSU is looking to regain momentum after a lackluster 1-6 start in conference play, which has them solidly in the tournament field but with work to do. The Tigers' quad record tells the story of a team that has dominated in Quadrant 4 games but struggled against top opponents, with a 1-6 mark in Quadrant 1 matchups.
The CHD Scout prediction has Florida winning by 6.8 points, with a 73.6% win probability, which is hardly surprising given the Gators' recent form and home-court advantage at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center. Florida's quad record is impressive, with a 4-6 mark in Quadrant 1 games and a perfect 5-0 record in Quadrant 4 games. LSU, on the other hand, want to capitalize on a rare Quadrant 1 opportunity, which could be a significant boost to their tournament resume.
CHD Scout Prediction
LSU
75
Florida
82
With neither team boasting notable player momentum, this matchup will likely come down to which team can impose its will on the defensive end. Florida's ability to contain LSU's offense matters, as the Tigers have struggled to find consistency on that end of the floor. I predict Florida will emerge victorious, 82-75, behind a strong defensive performance and a raucous home crowd. The Gators' superior NET ranking and recent form make them the clear favorite, and I expect them to take care of business against the struggling Tigers.