In a stunning turn of events, the University of Maine Black Bears secured a 61-58 victory over the University of New Hampshire Wildcats, defying expectations as the lower-ranked team in the matchup. With New Hampshire holding a NET ranking of 337 and Maine at 342, the outcome has significant implications for the seed line in the conference standings. The three-point margin of victory suggests a closely contested game, with Maine ultimately emerging on top despite being outscored by New Hampshire in the second half.
The first half saw Maine take a 30-25 lead, which they managed to maintain despite New Hampshire's stronger second-half performance, where they outscored Maine 33-31. The final score reveals a hard-fought win for the Black Bears, who were able to capitalize on their early advantage and hold off the Wildcats' late push. As the teams' NET rankings indicate, this upset has the potential to impact the trajectory of both teams' seasons, and a closer examination of the game's statistics will be necessary to understand how Maine was able to pull off the surprise victory.
Mekhi Gray and Logan Carey led the charge for Maine, each scoring 16 points in the team's 61-58 victory over New Hampshire. Gray's stat line was rounded out by 9 rebounds and 1 assist, with the forward shooting 5-9 from the field and 5-7 from the free throw line. Carey, meanwhile, added 4 rebounds and 1 assist to his 16-point total, converting 5-7 field goal attempts and 5-6 free throws.
Ace Flagg was the third key contributor for Maine, posting 15 points on an efficient 5-7 shooting performance from the field. Flagg also connected on 2-3 three-point attempts and 3-4 free throws, while adding 1 rebound and 2 assists to his line. The collective efforts of Gray, Carey, and Flagg ultimately proved decisive in Maine's narrow win, with the trio's scoring and rebounding helping to propel their team to victory.
Tyler Bike's performance was a mixed bag, as he managed to score 15 points but struggled from the field, converting just 25% of his shots from the field and 36% from beyond the arc. Despite his efforts, Bike's inability to consistently knock down shots from distance limited the Wildcats' offense. His three assists were a bright spot, but ultimately, his shooting woes prevented him from making a more significant impact.
Belal El Shakery had a solid outing, hauling in 10 rebounds and scoring 14 points on efficient shooting from the field. However, his inability to capitalize on his opportunities from the free throw line, converting just one of his two attempts, prevented him from further contributing to the Wildcats' scoring efforts. Meanwhile, Davide Poser's 11 points came from a trio of three-pointers, but his 3-of-9 shooting from the field and 1-of-1 assist totals left much to be desired, as he failed to provide the Wildcats with a consistent scoring threat.
TJ Biel's performance was a notable departure from his season average, as he struggled to find his footing, shooting a season-low 20% from the field and 0% from three-point range, a stark contrast to his 12.3 points per game average. His inability to contribute in multiple facets, including rebounding and assists, further highlighted his off-night, underscoring a rare instance of Biel's usually consistent play being overshadowed by his struggles.
CHD Scout Report Card
CORRECTPredicted
Final
The final score of 61-58 in favor of New Hampshire may have come as a slight surprise to those who picked Maine to win by 7.5 points. However, upon closer examination, it becomes clear that the Wildcats' resilience on the glass and their ability to capitalize on Maine's struggles from beyond the arc ultimately sealed their victory.
The data suggests that New Hampshire's dominance on the glass, particularly their rebounding rate of 24.1%, was a crucial factor in their win. Maine, on the other hand, struggled to secure their own rebounds, with a rate of just 6.9%, significantly lower than their season average of 19.9%. This discrepancy allowed New Hampshire to control the paint and limit Maine's second-chance opportunities. Additionally, the Wildcats' three-point shooting, although not spectacular, was efficient enough to make up for Maine's poor mark from beyond the arc, which was a major departure from their season average.
For Maine, this Quad 4 win may have marginally improved their NET ranking, but it is unlikely to significantly alter their NCAA Tournament prospects. With a 0-2 record against Quad 1 and 2 opponents, the Black Bears will need to secure a few more wins against slightly stronger competition to become a viable at-large contender. They may still be considered for a 15-seed at-large bid, but it would require a string of victories against Quad 3 and 4 opponents to bolster their resume. Conversely, New Hampshire's Quad 1 losses have left them with little room for error, and a Quad 4 loss will likely relegate the Wildcats to the NIT or out of the tournament altogether. Their NET ranking and Quad losses have made it increasingly unlikely they'll receive an at-large bid, and their only realistic path to the tournament is winning the America East tournament. This loss may be a harbinger of a long postseason absence for New Hampshire.