The Rutgers Scarlet Knights, led by Tariq Francis' 21 points, pulled off a stunning 68-57 upset over the Maryland-College Park Terrapins, a team ranked 16 spots higher in the NET rankings, at the Jersey Mike's Arena. This 11-point victory was a significant shock, considering Maryland's 149 NET ranking compared to Rutgers' 165, and the fact that Rutgers had lost all 5 of their previous games, averaging 69.4 points per game while allowing 85.2 points per game. The Scarlet Knights' recent form had been dismal, with a 15.8-point average deficit in their last 5 games, but they managed to turn it around against the Terrapins, who had been outscored by 16.2 points per game in their last 5 outings.
The game was a closely contested affair in the first half, with both teams scoring 27 points each. However, in the second half, Rutgers outscored Maryland 41-30, with Francis scoring 12 of his 21 points in the final 20 minutes. The Scarlet Knights' defense was also impressive, holding the Terrapins to just 30 points in the second half, including a stretch of over 5 minutes without a field goal. This defensive effort was a significant factor in the upset, as Maryland had been averaging 63.4 points per game over their last 5 games, but were held to just 57 points by the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers' recent trend of allowing 85.2 points per game made this defensive performance all the more impressive, and it was a key factor in their 11-point victory.
Rutgers' 68-57 Upset Over Maryland Marks Largest Margin of Victory This Season
The stat line doesn't do justice to the impact that Tariq Francis had on the game, as he hit several big shots, including a 3-pointer with just over 2 minutes left to put Rutgers up by 10 points. Francis' performance was complemented by Harun Zrno, who scored 13 points and grabbed 5 rebounds, and Dylan Grant, who added 9 points and 6 rebounds. On the other hand, Maryland's Darius Adams, who scored 13 points and grabbed 6 rebounds, was one of the few bright spots for the Terrapins, but even he struggled to find his rhythm in the second half, scoring just 4 points. Solomon Washington, who scored 11 points and grabbed 14 rebounds, was another notable performer for Maryland, but his efforts were not enough to overcome the Scarlet Knights' strong team performance.
The CHD Scout had predicted a Rutgers win by 5.8 points, and while the margin of victory was larger than expected, the prediction was still correct. The reason for this accuracy lies in the fact that the model took into account Rutgers' recent trend of high-scoring games, averaging 69.4 points per game over their last 5 outings, as well as Maryland's struggles on defense, allowing 79.6 points per game over their last 5 games. The model also likely factored in the Scarlet Knights' strong performance at home, where they had been averaging 71.2 points per game, compared to just 64.5 points per game on the road.
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The CHD Scout's prediction was correct, but it was not just a matter of numbers. The model's ability to account for the nuances of each team's performance, such as Rutgers' strong offense and Maryland's defensive struggles, was a key factor in its accuracy. The model also likely took into account the recent trend of both teams, with Rutgers losing all 5 of their previous games, and Maryland going 2-3 in their last 5 outings. This combination of statistical analysis and contextual understanding allowed the CHD Scout to make an accurate prediction, despite the upset nature of the game.
The win was a significant one for Rutgers, as it marked their first victory in 6 games, and it came against a team that was ranked higher in the NET rankings. The Scarlet Knights' recent form had been poor, but this win could be a turning point for the team, as they look to build momentum heading into the final stretch of the season. With 10 games left to play, Rutgers is still in the hunt for a tournament spot, although it will be a tough road ahead. Maryland, on the other hand, want to regroup and refocus after this disappointing loss, as they try to stay in the hunt for a tournament bid.
The loss was a significant blow to Maryland's tournament hopes, as they fell to 10-15 on the season, and their NET ranking is likely to take a hit. The Terrapins' quad 3 loss will also make it harder for them to build a strong resume, as they look to make a push for the tournament. Rutgers, on the other hand, will see their NET ranking improve, and their quad 3 win will be a significant boost to their resume. The Scarlet Knights still have a long way to go, but this win could be a turning point for the team, as they look to make a push for the tournament. With a current NET ranking of 165, Rutgers is still a long shot for the tournament, but this win could be the start of a late-season surge that propels them into the conversation.
The game was a quintessential example of how quickly things can change in college basketball. Just a few days ago, Maryland was looking like a solid tournament team, while Rutgers was struggling to find their footing. But after this 11-point upset, the tables have turned, and the Scarlet Knights are now looking like a team on the rise. With 10 games left to play, Rutgers want to build on this momentum, while Maryland will try to regroup and refocus. The Terrapins' recent trend of being outscored by 16.2 points per game over their last 5 outings is a cause for concern, and they must address this issue if they hope to make a push for the tournament. Rutgers, on the other hand, want to continue their strong defensive performance, which has been a key factor in their recent success.
In the end, this game will be remembered as a significant upset, one that could have major implications for both teams' tournament hopes. The Scarlet Knights' 11-point victory was a reflection of their resilience and determination, and it marked a turning point in their season. As the teams head into the final stretch of the season, they will both be looking to build on this game, and make a push for the tournament. With a strong finish, Rutgers could potentially play themselves into the tournament conversation, while Maryland must regroup and refocus if they hope to make a push for the tournament. The next few weeks matters for both teams, as they look to make a final push for the tournament.