As we approach the final stretch of the regular season, the margin for error is shrinking for teams on the NCAA tournament bubble. For Massachusetts, a quality win on the road would be a monumental boost to their resume, which currently lacks a signature victory. Meanwhile, Miami University (Ohio) is looking to protect its perfect record and solidify its position as a tournament lock. The RedHawks' impressive 20-0 start, coupled with a 3-0 record in Quad 2 games, has them sitting pretty with a NET ranking of 48.
The Minutemen, on the other hand, find themselves on the outside looking in, with a NET ranking of 193 and a Quad 3-heavy schedule that hasn't done them many favors. However, they do have a chance to pick up a crucial Quad 1 win on the road, which would undoubtedly turn heads on the selection committee. According to the CHD Scout prediction, Miami (OH) is favored to win by 8.8 points, with a 79% win probability. This prediction suggests that the RedHawks' high-powered offense, which has been clicking on all cylinders, will be too much for the Minutemen to handle.
CHD Scout Prediction
Massachusetts
75
Miami (OH)
85
everything is lined up for a thrilling matchup at Millett Hall, where Miami (OH) want to extend its three-game win streak. With both teams boasting strong recent form, it's difficult to pinpoint a decisive advantage. However, the RedHawks' ability to dominate in Quad 4 games, where they're 11-0, is a reflection of their depth and consistency. Unfortunately, there's no notable player momentum to speak of in this matchup, as neither team has a standout performer on a hot or cold streak.
In the end, I predict Miami (OH) will emerge victorious, 85-75, as their balanced attack and home-court advantage prove too much for Massachusetts to overcome. The RedHawks' superior NET ranking and Quad records suggest they have the edge in this matchup, and their high win probability according to the CHD Scout prediction reinforces this notion. While a Minutemen win would be a significant upset, it's unlikely they'll be able to contain the RedHawks' offense and pull off the road victory.