The Santa Clara Broncos, with their impressive 21-5 record and 12-1 conference mark, are solidly in the tournament field, currently ranked 41st in the NET rankings, while the Seattle Redhawks, at 15-10 overall and 4-8 in conference play, are in desperate need of quality wins to build a tournament resume, sitting at 135th in the NET rankings with a quad record of 1-3 in Quad 1 games, 1-2 in Quad 2, 3-4 in Quad 3, and 8-1 in Quad 4. This matchup is a Quad 1 opportunity for the Seattle Redhawks, but a Quad 3 game for the Santa Clara Broncos, which could impact their tournament seeding.
Seattle Redhawks' 3-Point Shooting Could Be the Difference Maker
The game is scheduled for February 11, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET, and will be played at the Leavey Center, with television and streaming information to be announced.
The Seattle Redhawks have had an up-and-down season, with a 15-10 overall record and a 4-8 mark in the West Coast Conference, which puts them near the bottom of the conference standings. Over their last 3 games, they have gone 1-2, with their most recent loss coming by a margin of 10 points. They have a NET ranking of 135 and a quad record that shows they have struggled against top-tier competition, with only 1 win in 3 attempts against Quad 1 opponents and 1 win in 2 attempts against Quad 2 opponents. However, they have fared better against lower-level competition, with 3 wins in 4 attempts against Quad 3 opponents and 8 wins in 9 attempts against Quad 4 opponents.
Key Matchups
The Santa Clara Broncos, on the other hand, have been one of the top teams in the West Coast Conference, with a 21-5 overall record and a 12-1 mark in conference play, which puts them at the top of the conference standings. They are currently riding a 3-game win streak, with their most recent win coming by a margin of 15 points. The Broncos have a NET ranking of 41 and a quad record that shows they have been competitive against top-tier competition, with 1 win in 3 attempts against Quad 1 opponents and 6 wins in 7 attempts against Quad 2 opponents. They have also dominated against lower-level competition, with 8 wins in 8 attempts against Quad 3 opponents and 5 wins in 6 attempts against Quad 4 opponents.
The Santa Clara Broncos' high-powered offense, which averages 78.5 points per game, will face off against the Seattle Redhawks' defense, which allows an average of 71.2 points per game. The Broncos' offense is led by their 48.5% field goal percentage, which is one of the top marks in the conference. On the other hand, the Redhawks' offense, which averages 73.1 points per game, will face a stiff test against the Broncos' defense, which allows an average of 65.8 points per game. The Broncos' defense has been particularly effective at limiting opponents' 3-point shooting, allowing only 31.4% from beyond the arc. The pace of the game will also be an interesting matchup, as the Broncos average 72.1 possessions per game, while the Redhawks average 69.5 possessions per game.
CHD Scout Prediction
Seattle U
65
Santa Clara
82
For the Santa Clara Broncos, several players have been instrumental in their success, including their leading scorer, who averages 18.2 points per game, and their leading rebounder, who averages 8.5 rebounds per game. The Broncos also have a player who has been on a hot streak, with 5 straight games of scoring in double figures, including a 25-point outing in their most recent win. For the Seattle Redhawks, their leading scorer averages 17.5 points per game, and their leading rebounder averages 7.2 rebounds per game. However, the Redhawks have struggled with consistency, with several players experiencing cold streaks, including one player who has scored in single digits in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tournament Stakes
According to the CHD Scout prediction, the Santa Clara Broncos are expected to win by a margin of 16.3 points, with a win probability of 90.8%. This prediction is based on the Broncos' strong conference record, as well as their impressive NET ranking and quad record. The prediction also takes into account the Redhawks' struggles against top-tier competition, as well as their inconsistent play on the road.
This game has real consequences for both teams' tournament resumes. A win for the Santa Clara Broncos would further solidify their position in the tournament field, potentially improving their seeding. On the other hand, a win for the Seattle Redhawks would be a major upset and would significantly boost their tournament chances, potentially moving them off the bubble. The game is a Quad 1 opportunity for the Redhawks, which would be a major boost to their resume if they can pull off the upset.