As the college basketball season heats up, Southeast Missouri State finds itself in a precarious position, needing quality wins to build a tournament resume. With a 242 NET ranking and a dismal 0-3 record in Quad 1 games, the Redhawks are running out of time to make a statement. A win over UT Martin, ranked 190 in the NET, would be a significant boost, especially considering the Skyhawks' impressive 15-5 record. However, UT Martin's quad record, which includes a 1-1 mark in Quad 2 games, suggests they're capable of competing against tougher opponents.
UT Martin enters the contest on a three-game win streak, with their high-powered offense posing a significant threat to Southeast Missouri State's defense. The Skyhawks have been efficient on both ends of the floor, outscoring their opponents by an average of 10 points per game. In contrast, Southeast Missouri State has struggled to find consistency, particularly during their current skid. According to the CHD Scout prediction, Southeast Missouri State is favored to win by a slim 0.7-point margin, with a 52.6% win probability.
CHD Scout Prediction
UT Martin
71
Southeast Missouri State
72
Given the quad context, this matchup is essentially a Quad 4 game for both teams, which reduces its tournament implications. Nevertheless, a win would still be valuable for either side, as it would help them build momentum and confidence. With no player momentum data to speak of, this game will likely come down to which team can execute their game plan more effectively. I predict Southeast Missouri State will eke out a narrow 72-71 victory, thanks to their home-court advantage and desperation to snap their losing streak. The Redhawks' ability to feed off the energy of the Show Me Center crowd could be the deciding factor in this closely contested matchup.