The Vanderbilt Commodores are riding a 5-game winning streak, with their last 3 victories coming by an average margin of 10.3 points, including a 78-65 win over the Auburn Tigers. Meanwhile, the Texas A&M Aggies have bounced back from a 3-game losing skid, winning their last 2 games by a combined 14 points, with their most recent win being a 75-71 thriller over the Ole Miss Rebels. With Vanderbilt's 7-4 conference record and Texas A&M's identical 7-4 mark, this matchup has real consequences for the SEC standings, where both teams are vying for a top-4 spot. Vanderbilt's quad record of 7-3 in Quad 1 games and 5-1 in Quad 2 games has been impressive, while Texas A&M's 3-5 Quad 1 record and 4-2 Quad 2 record indicate a need for improvement.
Vanderbilt Commodores' 49.5% Field Goal Percentage Leads the SEC
The game is scheduled for February 14, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET, and will take place at Memorial Gymnasium in Tennessee. The game will be broadcast on the SEC Network, with live streaming available on the ESPN app.
The Texas A&M Aggies have compiled a 17-7 overall record, with a 7-4 mark in SEC play, and boast a 43 NET ranking. Their quad record stands at 3-5 in Quad 1 games, 4-2 in Quad 2 games, 2-0 in Quad 3 games, and 8-0 in Quad 4 games. Over their last 5 games, the Aggies have averaged 74.2 points per game, while allowing 71.4 points per contest. With their recent 2-game winning streak, Texas A&M is looking to build momentum and strengthen their tournament resume, particularly with a win over a top-16 seed like Vanderbilt, which would significantly boost their Quad 1 record.
Key Matchups
The Vanderbilt Commodores have put together an impressive 20-4 overall record, with a 7-4 mark in SEC play, and hold a 15 NET ranking. Their quad record is 7-3 in Quad 1 games, 5-1 in Quad 2 games, 2-0 in Quad 3 games, and 6-0 in Quad 4 games. The Commodores have been stellar at home, boasting a 12-1 record at Memorial Gymnasium, with an average margin of victory of 14.5 points. Over their last 5 games, Vanderbilt has averaged 82.4 points per game, while allowing just 68.2 points per contest. With their top-16 seed status on the line, the Commodores want to extend their 5-game winning streak and solidify their position in the SEC standings.
The Vanderbilt Commodores' high-powered offense, which averages 81.1 points per game, will face off against the Texas A&M Aggies' stingy defense, which allows just 68.5 points per contest. Vanderbilt's 49.5% field goal percentage will be tested by Texas A&M's 42.1% defensive field goal percentage. The Commodores' 38.5% three-point shooting will also be a key factor, as the Aggies have allowed opponents to shoot 34.2% from beyond the arc. The pace of the game matters, as Vanderbilt averages 72.1 possessions per game, while Texas A&M averages 69.4 possessions per contest. With Vanderbilt's significant edge in Quad 1 wins, a win for the Aggies would be a major boost to their tournament resume.
CHD Scout Prediction
Texas A&M
77
Vanderbilt
89
For the Texas A&M Aggies, guard Wade Taylor IV has been on a tear, averaging 18.5 points per game over his last 5 contests, including a 25-point outing against the Ole Miss Rebels. Forward Henry Coleman III has also been impressive, averaging 12.8 points and 7.5 rebounds per game over his last 5 games. For the Vanderbilt Commodores, guard Tyrin Lawrence has been red-hot, averaging 20.2 points per game over his last 5 contests, including a 28-point performance against the Auburn Tigers. Forward Liam Robbins has also been dominant, averaging 15.5 points and 7.2 rebounds per game over his last 5 games.
Tournament Stakes
The CHD Scout prediction has the Vanderbilt Commodores winning by a margin of 12.0 points, with an 84.3% win probability. This prediction is based on Vanderbilt's impressive home record, their high-powered offense, and their significant edge in Quad 1 wins. With the Commodores averaging 14.5 points per game more than the Aggies over their last 5 games, it's likely that Vanderbilt will come out on top.
A win for the Vanderbilt Commodores would solidify their position on the top-16 seed line, while a loss would drop them to 20-5 and potentially out of the top-16. For the Texas A&M Aggies, a win would be a significant boost to their tournament resume, particularly with a Quad 1 win over a top-16 seed. A loss would drop the Aggies to 17-8, but they would still remain solidly in the tournament field. With the SEC standings still up for grabs, this matchup has real consequences for both teams' conference tournament seeding.