The Texas Longhorns, boasting a 15-9 overall record and a 6-5 mark in the SEC, head to Mizzou Arena to face the 17-7 Missouri Tigers, who are 7-4 in conference play. This non-conference matchup carries significant weight, particularly for Missouri, which is currently on the NCAA Tournament bubble with a 3-4 record in Quad 1 games and 3-3 in Quad 2 contests. A win against the Longhorns, who have a 4-6 Quad 1 record, would greatly bolster the Tigers' resume. Missouri is riding a recent wave of success, having won 3 of their last 5 games, including victories over ranked opponents.
Missouri Tigers' 3-Point Shooting Surge Could Be Decisive
The game is scheduled for February 14, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET, and will be held at Mizzou Arena in Columbia, Missouri. Fans can catch the action on ESPN, with streaming options available through the ESPN app.
The Texas Longhorns have had an up-and-down season, compiling a 15-9 record with a NET ranking of 38. They have struggled in Quad 1 games, going 4-6, but have been perfect in Quad 4 contests, winning all 7 of their games. In their last 3 games, the Longhorns have gone 3-1, with their only loss coming by a margin of 5 points. Texas is averaging 74.2 points per game, while allowing 68.5 points to their opponents. Their recent form, including a 2-game winning streak, has them feeling confident heading into the matchup against Missouri.
The Missouri Tigers, with a 17-7 overall record and a 7-4 conference mark, are looking to make a statement against the Longhorns. Ranked 57th in the NET, Missouri has a 3-4 record in Quad 1 games and a 3-3 record in Quad 2 games. The Tigers have been on a tear lately, winning 4 of their last 5 games, including a 10-point victory over a ranked opponent. Missouri is scoring an average of 76.1 points per game, while giving up 69.2 points to their opponents. With a strong home record, the Tigers want to capitalize on their home-court advantage to secure a crucial win.
The matchup between Texas and Missouri features two teams with distinct styles. The Longhorns prefer a slower pace, averaging 67.5 possessions per game, while the Tigers like to push the ball, averaging 71.2 possessions per game. Texas has a significant edge in rebounding, outrebounding their opponents by an average of 4.5 boards per game, while Missouri has a slight advantage in turnover margin, forcing 1.2 more turnovers per game than they commit. The Tigers must find a way to counter the Longhorns' strong rebounding to come out on top. With Missouri's recent 45.1% shooting from beyond the arc, they may look to exploit Texas's vulnerable 3-point defense, which has allowed opponents to shoot 35.6% from deep.
CHD Scout Prediction
Texas
78
Missouri
78
For Texas, guard Marcus Carr is averaging 15.6 points per game, while shooting 42.1% from the field. Forward Dylan Disu is adding 12.1 points and 6.5 rebounds per game, and has been on a hot streak, scoring in double figures in 5 of his last 6 games. For Missouri, guard D'Moi Hodge is leading the team in scoring, averaging 14.5 points per game, while shooting 40.5% from 3-point range. Forward Kobe Brown is chipping in 12.8 points and 6.2 rebounds per game, and has been cold lately, scoring in single digits in 2 of his last 3 games. However, his ability to get to the free-throw line, where he shoots 82.1%, could be a key factor in the game.
The CHD Scout prediction has Missouri winning by a narrow margin of 0.7 points, with a 52.4% win probability. This prediction suggests a closely contested game, with both teams having a legitimate chance to come out on top. Given the Tigers' strong home record and the Longhorns' struggles in Quad 1 games, Missouri may have a slight edge, but Texas's rebounding advantage and defensive prowess will make it a challenging contest.
A win for Missouri would be a significant boost to their NCAA Tournament resume, particularly given the Quad 1 implications. With a current record of 3-4 in Quad 1 games, the Tigers need quality wins to move up the rankings. A victory over Texas, who is solidly in the tournament field, would not only improve their Quad 1 record but also enhance their overall profile. For Texas, a win would solidify their position in the tournament field and potentially move them up a seed line, considering their current 4-6 record in Quad 1 games.