The Texas State Bobcats pulled off a stunning 12-point upset over the Troy Trojans, winning 74-62 at the Strahan Arena at the University Events Center. This victory was a significant Q3 win for Texas State, improving their record to 16-11, while Troy fell to 17-9. DJ Hall led the charge for Texas State with 21 points and 6 rebounds, outpacing Troy's top scorer Victor Valdes, who had 22 points. The 12-point margin of victory was a far cry from the predicted 1.5-point margin in favor of Troy, making this a notable upset.
DJ Hall's 21 Points Lead Texas State to Upset Victory Over Troy
The game unfolded with Texas State taking control from the start, leading 36-29 at halftime. The Bobcats extended their lead in the second half, outscoring Troy 38-33 to secure the 74-62 win. Texas State's Mark Drone contributed 15 points and 6 rebounds, while Kaden Gumbs added 11 points to the effort. On the other side, Theo Seng had 14 points and 5 rebounds for Troy, and Cooper Campbell chipped in with 10 points. The Bobcats' strong team performance, with 3 players scoring in double figures, proved too much for the Trojans to handle. Texas State's 74 points were the most they have scored in their last 5 games, and their 36 points in the first half were the highest first-half total in their last 10 games.
DJ Hall and Victor Valdes were the top performers in the game, with Hall's 21 points and 6 rebounds leading the way for Texas State. Valdes's 22 points were not enough to propel Troy to victory, despite his strong individual effort. Mark Drone and Theo Seng also had notable performances, with Drone scoring 15 points and grabbing 6 rebounds, and Seng contributing 14 points and 5 rebounds. The Bobcats' balanced attack, with 3 players scoring in double figures, was a key factor in their victory. Hall's 21 points were his highest total in the last 7 games, and Valdes's 22 points were his 5th 20-point game of the season.
CHD Scout Report Card
INCORRECTPredicted
Final
The box score reveals some interesting statistics from the game. Texas State outscored Troy 38-33 in the second half, and their 36 points in the first half were the highest first-half total in their last 10 games. The Bobcats also outrebounded Troy 34-29, with DJ Hall and Mark Drone each grabbing 6 rebounds. Troy's Victor Valdes had 22 points, but the rest of the team struggled to find their rhythm, with only 2 other players scoring in double figures. The 12-point margin of victory was the largest for Texas State in their last 12 games, and their 74 points were the most they have scored in their last 5 games.
The CHD Scout prediction model was incorrect in predicting a Troy victory by 1.5 points. Instead, Texas State won by 12 points, a significant margin that highlights the model's error. The predicted score was 75-76 in favor of Troy, but the actual score was 74-62 in favor of Texas State. This upset victory will likely impact the model's future predictions, as it demonstrates the unpredictability of college basketball. The model's incorrect prediction was its 5th incorrect prediction in the last 10 games, and it will be interesting to see how it adjusts to this upset.
This victory was a significant Q3 win for Texas State, improving their record to 16-11. The win will likely improve their NET ranking, currently at 254, and enhance their tournament resume. For Troy, the loss was a Q4 defeat, dropping their record to 17-9 and potentially hurting their NET ranking, currently at 115. The 12-point margin of victory will also be taken into account by the selection committee, as it demonstrates Texas State's ability to win convincingly against a strong opponent. Texas State's Q3 win was their 4th of the season, and their Q3 record now stands at 4-6. Troy's Q4 loss was their 3rd of the season, and their Q4 record now stands at 2-3.
The Texas State Bobcats want to build on this momentum in their next game, while the Troy Trojans will aim to bounce back from this upset loss. Texas State's next game is scheduled for February 15th against the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns, while Troy's next game is scheduled for February 14th against the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Both teams want to improve their tournament resumes and make a push for the postseason. The Bobcats will be seeking their 5th consecutive win, while the Trojans want to end a 2-game losing streak.