The Tulane Green Wave pulled off a stunning 77-71 upset over the North Texas Mean Green at The Super Pit, a result that sent shockwaves through the college basketball world, particularly given the 42-spot difference in NET rankings, with North Texas sitting at 147 and Tulane at 189. This win, a 6-point margin, not only defied the CHD Scout's prediction of a 7.9-point North Texas victory but also marked a significant moment for Tulane, who had been averaging 70.8 points per game over their last 5 outings, while allowing 73.6 points per game. The victory was all the more impressive considering North Texas had been on a roll, averaging 74.6 points per game over their last 5, with a 3-2 record in that stretch, including wins over Temple and Memphis. Tulane, on the other hand, had a similar 3-2 record in their last 5 games, but with a trend of being outscored by 2.8 points per game, making this upset even more noteworthy. The game itself was a tale of two halves, with North Texas taking a 38-34 lead into the break, only for Tulane to outscore them 43-33 in the second half, a period that saw Tulane's Rowan Brumbaugh score 10 of his 17 points.
As the game unfolded, it became clear that Tulane's ability to adapt and find scoring opportunities in the second half would be crucial. They managed to capitalize on North Texas's mistakes, turning 12 turnovers into 15 points, a significant factor in their comeback. Meanwhile, North Texas, who had been outscoring their opponents by 5.2 points per game over their last 5, found themselves on the wrong end of a 6-point deficit, a margin that reflected their inability to contain Tulane's offense in the second half. David Terrell Jr. led North Texas with 21 points and 6 assists, but his efforts were not enough to stem the tide of Tulane's second-half surge. Je'Shawn Stevenson also had a notable performance with 20 points and 7 rebounds, but like Terrell Jr., his contributions were overshadowed by Tulane's collective effort in the final 20 minutes.
Tulane's Second-Half Surge Marks Largest Comeback of the Season
The performances of Tulane's top players were instrumental in their victory. Beyond the numbers, it was evident that players like Asher Woods and Scotty Middleton made significant contributions, with Woods scoring 16 points and Middleton adding 15 points and 6 rebounds. These players hit big shots and made crucial defensive stops, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure. On the other hand, North Texas's Reece Robinson, who had 8 points and 6 rebounds, seemed to vanish in the second half, failing to make a significant impact when his team needed it most. The contrast in performance between the two teams' key players was a deciding factor in the outcome, with Tulane's players rising to the occasion and North Texas's stars unable to match their intensity.
The CHD Scout's prediction of a North Texas win by 7.9 points was based on the teams' recent form and statistical trends, but it failed to account for the intangible factors that decided the game.
CHD Scout Report Card
INCORRECTPredicted
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The model missed the resilience and adaptability of Tulane, who, despite being outscored in the first half, managed to adjust their strategy and outperform North Texas in the second. This oversight highlights the limitations of predictive models in capturing the full complexity of team dynamics and player performances. The actual outcome, a 6-point Tulane victory, was a reflection of the unpredictability of college basketball, where teams can defy expectations based on their NET rankings and recent trends. North Texas, despite their superior NET ranking and recent form, were unable to capitalize on their advantages, while Tulane seized the opportunity to pull off a significant upset.
This upset has real consequences for both teams' tournament prospects. Given that this was a Q4 game for North Texas and a Q3 game for Tulane, the outcome could potentially impact their seeding and bubble status.
The win for Tulane could play a crucial role in their bid to improve their NET ranking and strengthen their tournament resume. Conversely, the loss for North Texas might raise concerns about their consistency and ability to perform against lower-ranked opponents. The fact that Tulane was able to secure a Q3 win, despite being the lower-ranked team, demonstrates their potential to compete against tougher opponents and could bolster their case for a tournament spot. On the other hand, North Texas's loss in a Q4 game might undermine their confidence and raise questions about their readiness for the postseason. As the season progresses, both teams must reflect on this game and adjust their strategies to achieve their tournament aspirations.
The aftermath of this game leaves both teams with much to consider. For Tulane, the challenge will be to build on this momentum, using the confidence gained from this upset to propel them through the remainder of their schedule. With 16 wins and a record of 16-10, they are in a decent position but need to maintain their form to ensure a strong finish. North Texas, meanwhile, must regroup and reassess their approach, particularly in games where they are expected to win. Their 15-12 record and recent trend of outscoring opponents by 5.2 points per game over their last 5 outings suggest they have the potential to bounce back, but they need to address the inconsistencies that led to this upset. As the college basketball landscape continues to evolve, games like this serve as reminders of the unpredictability and excitement that define the sport, with teams constantly navigating the fine line between victory and defeat, and the margin between success and disappointment often being as small as 6 points.
HEADLINE: Tulane Green Wave Stuns North Texas Mean Green 77-71 Behind Brumbaugh's 17 Points SUBHEADLINE: The upset, which defied a 42-spot difference in NET rankings, could significantly impact both teams' tournament prospects, with Tulane improving their chances and North Texas facing questions about their consistency, a concern highlighted by their 3-2 record in their last 5 games, where they averaged 74.6 points per game but were outperformed in crucial moments.