As Virginia travels to the Tucker Center to take on Florida State, the stakes are clear: the Cavaliers are looking to solidify their position as a top seed, while the Seminoles are fighting to stay relevant in the tournament conversation. With a 20-3 record and a 9-2 mark in the ACC, Virginia is in a comfortable position, boasting a NET ranking of 16 and a strong quad record. In contrast, Florida State's 11-12 record and 4-6 conference mark have them on the outside looking in, with a NET ranking of 95 and a dismal 1-8 record in Quad 1 games.
Virginia Has Dominated Florida State in Recent Years
Key Matchups
The Seminoles are riding a three-game win streak, but it's unlikely to be enough to impress the selection committee without a signature win. That's exactly what they'll be looking for against Virginia, a win that would significantly bolster their tournament hopes. According to the CHD Scout prediction, however, Virginia is favored to win by 12.5 points, with Florida State's win probability sitting at just 14.8%. With neither team having a notable player momentum, the outcome will likely depend on which team can execute their game plan more effectively.
CHD Scout Prediction
Virginia
84
Florida State
72