The William and Mary Tribe are set to face off against the Campbell Fighting Camels, with both teams looking to bolster their tournament resumes. Campbell, with a record of 12-14, has been averaging 78 points per game over their last 5 contests, while allowing 74 points per game, outscoring their opponents by 4.0 points. This stretch has seen them go 3-2, with notable wins against North Carolina A&T and Drexel. In their most recent meeting, Campbell took down William & Mary 104-96, showcasing their ability to put up big numbers. The Tribe, on the other hand, has been averaging 85.4 points per game over their last 5, while allowing 81.4 points per game, also outscoring their opponents by 4.0 points. Despite this, they've managed only a 2-3 record in that stretch, with losses to Elon, Hampton, and most recently, Campbell.
Key Matchups
As we delve into the individual matchups, it's clear that William & Mary's high-powered offense will be a challenge for Campbell to contain. The Tribe has been led by their strong scoring, with 85.4 points per game over their last 5 contests. This has been fueled by their ability to move the ball effectively, with an average of 18.2 assists per game over that stretch. Campbell, meanwhile, has been relying on their defense to keep them in games, allowing only 74 points per game over their last 5. However, they've struggled with turnovers, averaging 13.4 per game, which could be exploited by the Tribe's offense. Notably, in their previous meeting, Campbell's Gediminas Mokseckas had a standout performance, scoring 23 points and grabbing 7 rebounds. For William & Mary, their leading scorer, Julian Lewis, has been on a tear, averaging 22.5 points per game over his last 5 contests.
The recent form of both teams suggests that this game could be a high-scoring affair, with both teams having shown the ability to put up big numbers. Campbell's 104-point outburst against William & Mary in their previous meeting is a prime example of this. The Fighting Camels have also shown resilience, coming back from deficits to win games, such as their 79-71 victory over North Carolina A&T. William & Mary, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, with their 2-3 record over their last 5 games a reflection of this. Despite this, they've shown an ability to bounce back from losses, such as their 94-67 thrashing of Northeastern after a tough loss to Elon. Over their last 10 games, William & Mary has averaged 82.1 points per game, while Campbell has averaged 76.5 points per game.
CHD Scout Prediction
William & Mary
83
Campbell
75
The CHD Scout prediction has William & Mary winning by 7.6 points, with a 25.6% win probability for Campbell. This prediction is likely due to the Tribe's high-powered offense, which has been averaging 85.4 points per game over their last 5 contests. Additionally, William & Mary's ability to move the ball effectively, with an average of 18.2 assists per game over that stretch, could prove to be a challenge for Campbell's defense. Campbell's struggles with turnovers, averaging 13.4 per game, could also be exploited by the Tribe's offense. The Fighting Camels must find a way to contain William & Mary's scoring and limit their own turnovers if they hope to pull off the upset.
The trends in this game suggest that William & Mary's offense will be the key factor in determining the outcome. The Tribe has been scoring at a high clip, with 85.4 points per game over their last 5 contests, and has shown an ability to adapt to different defensive schemes. Campbell, on the other hand, has been relying on their defense to keep them in games, but has struggled with consistency on that end. The Fighting Camels have allowed an average of 74 points per game over their last 5 contests, but have shown an ability to tighten up their defense in crucial situations. Over their last 5 games, Campbell has held opponents to under 70 points per game 2 times, showcasing their ability to lock down on defense when needed.
Tournament Stakes
A win for William & Mary would be a significant boost to their tournament resume, as it would give them a quality win over a conference opponent. The Tribe is currently sitting at 16-10, and a win would help to solidify their position in the conference standings. For Campbell, a win would be a major upset, and would give them a much-needed quality win to bolster their own tournament resume. The Fighting Camels are currently sitting at 12-14, and a win would help to keep their tournament hopes alive. A loss for either team would be a setback, but William & Mary's higher NET ranking and stronger conference record would make a loss less damaging to their tournament chances. Campbell, on the other hand, would need to win out and get some help from other teams in order to have a realistic shot at making the tournament.
The NET rankings and quad records of both teams will also play a significant role in determining the outcome of this game. William & Mary's higher NET ranking and stronger conference record give them an advantage in terms of tournament resume. Campbell, on the other hand, has struggled in quad 1 and quad 2 games, with a combined record of 0-8 in those contests. A win over William & Mary would be a major boost to their quad 3 record, and would give them a much-needed quality win. The Tribe, on the other hand, has a strong quad 3 record, with a 3-5 mark in those contests. A win would help to solidify their position in the conference standings and give them a stronger tournament resume. Over their last 10 games, William & Mary has a 6-4 record, while Campbell has a 5-5 record, showcasing the tight nature of the conference standings.