As the college basketball season hits its stride, the margin for error grows thinner for teams teetering on the NCAA Tournament bubble. For two Horizon League foes, a Wednesday night showdown at the Beeghly Center represents a critical opportunity to bolster their postseason prospects. Youngstown State, despite a recent three-game skid, remains in the hunt, while Wisconsin, Green Bay is looking to build on a promising stretch. Both teams know that a quality win can be the difference between a tournament bid and a disappointing postseason.
The Penguins, with a NET ranking of 229, have struggled to find consistency, particularly in conference play, where they've mustered just two wins in nine attempts. However, their quad record reveals a glimmer of hope – they've taken down one Quad 2 opponent and have a chance to add another notch to their belt against the Phoenix. On the other hand, Green Bay's profile is marked by a lack of signature wins, with a 0-1 record against Quad 1 teams and a 0-4 mark against Quad 2 foes. Their recent form has been a mixed bag, with a loss, a win, and another win in their last three outings.
CHD Scout Prediction
Green Bay
71
Youngstown State
79
According to the CHD Scout prediction, Youngstown State is poised to snap its losing streak, with a projected 79-71 victory and a 76.2% win probability. The Penguins' home-court advantage and slightly more impressive NET ranking give them a narrow edge here. The over/under is set at 140.5, and with both teams capable of putting up points, this one could turn into a high-scoring affair.
While neither team has a player on a particularly hot or cold streak, the outcome of this game will likely hinge on which squad can better execute its game plan. Youngstown State's ability to contain Green Bay's offense and limit their scoring opportunities matters in determining the winner.
In the end, I predict Youngstown State will emerge victorious, 78-72. The Penguins' home-court advantage and the urgency to snap their losing streak should propel them to a much-needed win. With the CHD Scout prediction in their favor and a slight edge in the NET rankings, Youngstown State is poised to take a critical step towards building a tournament-worthy resume.