The Yale Bulldogs, boasting a 74.5 points per game average, will face off against the Dartmouth Big Green, who have allowed 72.1 points per contest, in a game that could significantly alter the Ivy League standings, with Yale looking to solidify their position atop the conference and Dartmouth seeking to climb the ranks, having won 4 of their last 7 games, including a 2-point victory over Princeton. With Yale's strong offense, which has scored 80 or more points in 10 of their 22 games, facing Dartmouth's defense, which has held opponents to under 70 points 9 times this season, this matchup promises to be an intriguing one, particularly given the Bulldogs' 48.5% field goal percentage, which ranks 2nd in the Ivy League.
Yale Bulldogs Have Dominated Dartmouth Big Green in Recent Years, Winning 7 of Their Last 10 Meetings
The game is scheduled for February 13, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET, and will be played at Leede Arena, with streaming options available for fans who cannot attend in person, and the over/under set at 153.5 points, according to betmgm, with Yale favored by 9.5 points, and the moneyline set at -450 for the Bulldogs and 340 for the Big Green.
The Yale Bulldogs have been impressive this season, with an 18-4 overall record and a 6-2 mark in Ivy League play, good for 2nd place in the conference, and boasting a NET ranking of 67, which puts them squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble, with a quad record of 0-1 Q1, 1-0 Q2, 8-3 Q3, and 7-0 Q4, indicating a need for quality wins to bolster their tournament resume, having averaged 74.5 points per game while allowing 66.9 points per contest, and with a recent form of W-W-L-W-W, including a 78-65 victory over Brown, in which they shot 52.5% from the field and 45.5% from 3-point range.
The Dartmouth Big Green, on the other hand, have struggled to find consistency, with a 10-11 overall record and a 4-4 mark in Ivy League play, which puts them in 5th place in the conference, and a NET ranking of 232, indicating a significant gap between themselves and the top teams in the league, with a quad record of 0-2 Q1, 0-2 Q2, 3-2 Q3, and 5-5 Q4, highlighting their need for quality wins to build a tournament resume, having averaged 68.5 points per game while allowing 72.1 points per contest, and with a recent form of L-W-L-L-W, including a 65-63 loss to Harvard, in which they shot 41.9% from the field and 30.8% from 3-point range.
CHD Scout Prediction
Yale
85
Dartmouth
68
The key matchup in this game will be between Yale's high-powered offense, which has scored 80 or more points in 10 of their 22 games, and Dartmouth's defense, which has held opponents to under 70 points 9 times this season, with the Bulldogs' 48.5% field goal percentage, which ranks 2nd in the Ivy League, facing the Big Green's 43.9% field goal percentage allowed, which ranks 5th in the conference, and with Yale's 37.5% 3-point shooting, which ranks 1st in the Ivy League, facing Dartmouth's 34.5% 3-point shooting allowed, which ranks 6th in the conference, and the pace of the game will also be crucial, with Yale averaging 72.1 possessions per game, while Dartmouth averages 69.5 possessions per game.
For Yale, guard Azar Swain has been on fire, averaging 18.5 points per game over his last 5 contests, including a 25-point performance against Brown, in which he shot 9-15 from the field and 5-9 from 3-point range, while forward Matt Knowling has been a force on the glass, averaging 7.8 rebounds per game over his last 5 contests, including a 10-rebound performance against Cornell, and for Dartmouth, guard Ryan Cornish has been a scoring threat, averaging 15.8 points per game over his last 5 contests, including a 22-point performance against Harvard, in which he shot 8-15 from the field and 4-8 from 3-point range.
The CHD Scout prediction has Yale winning this game by a margin of 17.3 points, with a predicted score of 85-68, and a win probability of 91.9% for the Bulldogs, and 8.1% for the Big Green, indicating a significant advantage for Yale, and with the over/under set at 153.5 points, according to betmgm, this game promises to be a high-scoring affair, with Yale's offense likely to be the deciding factor.
This game has real consequences for both teams' tournament chances, with Yale looking to solidify their position on the NCAA Tournament bubble, and Dartmouth seeking to build a tournament resume, and with Yale's quad record of 0-1 Q1, 1-0 Q2, 8-3 Q3, and 7-0 Q4, and Dartmouth's quad record of 0-2 Q1, 0-2 Q2, 3-2 Q3, and 5-5 Q4, this game could be a crucial Quad 3 win for Yale, and a much-needed Quad 2 win for Dartmouth, and with the Ivy League tournament seeding also at stake, this game promises to be a crucial one for both teams.