The most important metric in college basketball analytics
What Are Efficiency Ratings?
Efficiency ratings measure how many points a team scores (or allows) per 100 possessions. Unlike raw points per game, which is heavily influenced by how fast a team plays, efficiency ratings are tempo-free. This means you can fairly compare a team that plays 75 possessions per game to one that plays 60.
A possession ends when a team scores, misses and the opponent rebounds, turns the ball over, or shoots free throws. By normalizing to 100 possessions, efficiency ratings strip away pace and reveal how effectively a team converts opportunities into points.
Offensive Efficiency (ORtg)
Offensive efficiency, also called offensive rating (ORtg), measures the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions. A higher number is better.
What drives a good offensive efficiency rating:
- High field goal percentage — Especially effective two-point shooting (dunks, layups, mid-range)
- Three-point shooting — Volume and accuracy from beyond the arc
- Free throw rate — Drawing fouls and converting at the line
- Low turnover rate — Taking care of the ball preserves possessions
- Offensive rebounding — Second-chance points create additional scoring opportunities
Defensive Efficiency (DRtg)
Defensive efficiency, or defensive rating (DRtg), measures the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions. Lower is better for defense.
What makes elite defensive efficiency:
- Contesting shots effectively — Forcing opponents into difficult, low-percentage attempts
- Defensive rebounding — Ending opponent possessions on the first miss
- Forcing turnovers — Steals and forced errors eliminate opponent scoring chances
- Limiting free throws — Disciplined defense that avoids fouls
- Three-point defense — Closing out on shooters and limiting open looks
Net Efficiency
Net efficiency is simply offensive efficiency minus defensive efficiency (ORtg − DRtg). It is widely considered the single best predictor of team quality in college basketball.
A positive net efficiency means a team scores more points per 100 possessions than it allows. The best teams in the country typically have a net efficiency of +20 or higher, while the average Division I team sits near zero.
For example, a team with an offensive efficiency of 115 and a defensive efficiency of 92 has a net efficiency of +23, which would place them among the nation's elite.
Why Efficiency Beats Raw Stats
Consider two teams:
- Team A averages 85 points per game at a fast pace (75 possessions per game)
- Team B averages 70 points per game at a slow pace (58 possessions per game)
At first glance, Team A looks like the better offense. But when you calculate efficiency: Team A scores 113.3 points per 100 possessions, while Team B scores 120.7 points per 100 possessions. Team B is actually the more efficient offense despite scoring fewer raw points.
Adjusted efficiency goes one step further by accounting for opponent quality. A team that scores 110 per 100 possessions against top-50 defenses is far more impressive than one doing the same against bottom-100 defenses. This opponent adjustment is what makes efficiency ratings predictive rather than just descriptive.
How to Use Efficiency on CHD
On College Hoops Data, you can find efficiency ratings in several places:
- NET Rankings page — View every team's offensive and defensive efficiency alongside their NET ranking and quad record
- Team detail pages — Each team profile shows season-long efficiency metrics and how they trend over time
- Scoreboard — Pre-game matchup cards show each team's efficiency profile to help you evaluate the matchup
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a good offensive efficiency rating?
The NCAA Division I average offensive efficiency is roughly 100 points per 100 possessions. A rating above 105 is considered above average, above 110 is very good, and elite teams often post ratings above 115. The top offenses in the country typically reach 118-122 points per 100 possessions.
What's the difference between raw and adjusted efficiency?
Raw efficiency simply divides total points by total possessions. Adjusted efficiency accounts for the quality of opponents faced. A team scoring 110 points per 100 possessions against a weak schedule will have a lower adjusted efficiency than those same numbers against a tough schedule. Adjusted efficiency is far more predictive of future performance.
Do efficiency ratings predict tournament success?
Yes. Adjusted efficiency margin (offensive minus defensive efficiency) is the single strongest predictor of NCAA tournament success. Teams with top-10 net efficiency ratings are significantly more likely to reach the Final Four. Since 2002, the national champion has had a top-15 adjusted efficiency margin in every season.
How often are efficiency ratings updated?
On College Hoops Data, efficiency ratings are updated after every game day. The ratings reflect all games played through the previous day, so you always have the most current picture of team quality.