North Carolina 58, NC State 82 - Box Score

NET #24

	H1	H2	T
North Carolina	26	32	58
NC State	42	40	82

NC State

NET #36

	H1	H2	T
North Carolina	26	32	58
NC State	42	40	82

Tue, Feb 17, 2026Lenovo CenterFinal

CHD Scout Prediction

low

Predicted

Actual

North Carolina

NC State

47%

53%

✓ CorrectMargin: +0.8 predicted → +24 actual

Four Factors: Predicted vs Actual

54.9%→ 35.8

eFG%

55.5 ←56.6%

11.6%→ 14.8

TO Rate

5.3 ←11.8%

30.1%

ORB%

26.4%

38.3%→ 35.0

FT Rate

25.0 ←34.9%

North Carolina

Predicted Actual

NC State

Recap

North Carolina State Wolfpack Upset North Carolina Tar Heels 82-58 Behind Copeland's 20 Points

The Wolfpack's 24-point win over the 25th-ranked Tar Heels has significant implications for both teams' seed lines, with NC State improving to 19-8 and North Carolina falling to 20-6, and the Wolfpack's NET ranking of 29 could see a significant boost after this Quadrant 1 win.

The North Carolina State Wolfpack, ranked 29th in the NET rankings, pulled off a stunning 82-58 upset over the 25th-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels, a team that was considered a lock for the NCAA tournament with a 20-6 record. This 24-point blowout was a far cry from the 0.8-point margin predicted b...

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Top Performers

North Carolina

Jarin Stevenson27.3

PTS13REB9AST1BLK1

4-7 FG, 0-3 3PT, 5-5 FT

Zayden High24.5

PTS13REB10AST1BLK2

4-6 FG, 0-1 3PT, 5-8 FT

Jonathan Powell13.5

PTS9REB5AST0

3-8 FG, 1-4 3PT, 2-2 FT

NC State

Quadir CopelandMVP45.7

PTS20REB6AST7STL4

7-16 FG, 6-8 FT

Matt Able26.7

PTS19REB6AST0STL1

6-10 FG, 5-7 3PT, 2-2 FT

Ven-Allen Lubin22.7

PTS12REB6AST2STL1

5-6 FG, 2-4 FT

Hot Players

Zayden HighNorth Carolina+258%

PTS

3.4 avg

REB

2.8 avg

AST

0.5 avg

67% FG 4-6

Jaydon YoungNorth Carolina+158%

PTS

1.8 avg

REB

0.9 avg

AST

0.4 avg

33% FG 2-6

Matt AbleNC State+91%

PTS

8.8 avg

REB

3.4 avg

AST

0.9 avg

60% FG 6-10

Jonathan PowellNorth Carolina+77%

PTS

4.8 avg

REB

2.4 avg

AST

0.7 avg

38% FG 3-8

Jarin StevensonNorth Carolina+72%

PTS

8.1 avg

REB

4.4 avg

AST

0.9 avg

57% FG 4-7

Quadir CopelandNC State+38%

PTS

13.9 avg

REB

3.6 avg

AST

6.5 avg

44% FG 7-16

Terrance ArceneauxNC State+30%

PTS

3.8 avg

REB

2.6 avg

AST

0.5 avg

17% FG 1-6

Sort:

North Carolina58

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	TO
Jarin Stevenson	35	13	4-7	0-3	5-5	9	1	1	0
Zayden High	30	13	4-6	0-1	5-8	10	1	2	4
Jonathan Powell	27	9	3-8	1-4	2-2	5	0	0	1
Luka Bogavac	27	9	3-8	2-5	1-2	3	0	0	3
Seth Trimble	27	4	1-9	0-3	2-4	3	1	0	1
Derek Dixon	21	5	2-12	1-9	0-0	3	2	0	2
Jaydon Young	16	5	2-6	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	0
Kyan Evans	15	0	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	1
Isaiah Denis	2	0	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
James Brown	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Ivan Matlekovic	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Elijah Davis	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Henri Veesaar	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
John Holbrook	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Evan Smith	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Caleb Wilson	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Total	—	58	19-60	5-33	15-21	37	9	3	12

NC State82

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO
Quadir Copeland	32	20	7-16	0-0	6-8	6	7	4	0	0
Matt Able	31	19	6-10	5-7	2-2	6	0	1	0	1
Paul McNeil Jr.	31	10	4-6	2-4	0-0	7	0	0	0	0
Ven-Allen Lubin	28	12	5-6	0-0	2-4	6	2	1	0	1
Terrance Arceneaux	23	3	1-6	1-3	0-0	6	0	0	1	1
Tre Holloman	17	2	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Darrion Williams	16	13	6-10	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Musa Sagnia	13	3	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	2	1
Alyn Breed	7	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jordan Snell	2	0	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zymicah Wilkins	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jayme Kontuniemi	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colt Langdon	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jerry Deng	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Scottie Ebube	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Total	—	82	31-64	9-20	11-16	38	13	7	3	4